Carbs to make a comeback?

Trader sentiment on the grain complex (corn, wheat, rice and especially oats) has been very bearish for weeks, but prices have stabilized and RSI is turning up. This could be the set-up for decent rally, especially if general risk appetite comes back for a couple of weeks.

Here’s a chart of wheat going back to 2003, weekly scale:

TD Ameritrade

And here are oat futures:

-

You can see in these that the grain complex went through a mania in 2007 and early 2008 with the rest of the commodities, but that froth was quickly blown off in the crash. Prices are in rather neutral territory on a longer-term basis, which you can see for yourself by checking 25-year charts on indexmundi.com or futures.tradingcharts.com.

About these ads

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s