Taleb thinks hyperinflation is a strong enough possibility to justify way OTM bets on gold (long) and bonds (short). The one bit I agree with is the long gold / short stocks play (though I think gold is likely to fall with stocks, just not as much), and I suspect that deflationist Hendry would concur.
Hendry [...]

Prophet.net
Likely at least a bit more downside here, maybe even a trend lower all day to 1085. Adjust those stops though! This move now qualifies as complete, so we could snap up at any time.

IYR is an ETF loaded with commercial and residential real estate investment trusts:

Prophet.net
At 4.44%, you can get almost as much yield from a 10-year Treasury note (3.8%). Why mess around with these debt-laden monsters?
SRS of course is the 2x inverse of IYR, and URE is the 2x bull version (not a bad way to short, [...]

According to Bloomberg, the big bears are circling China.
Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, says China is overdoing it. “It does not make sense for China to build more empty buildings and add to capacities in industries where you already have overcapacity,” Faber told Bloomberg Television on Feb. 11. “I think [...]

The miners have been among the leaders since the bottom a year ago, with everyone seemingly sure that hyperinflation is right around the corner. The thing about commodities is that when they break an uptrend, they can fall hard and never look back (witness oil’s drop from $147 to $35 in six months).
If XME is [...]

Still no signs of a fresh leg down. The markets don’t seem to want to sell off this week, and have been making little lunges higher. Even the Athens stock market has bounced 9% since Monday. Who would have guessed?
Fear is abating in all major markets: the dollar has stalled, oil is up four bucks, [...]

In keeping with my idea of shorting the levered bull ETFs instead of buying the short ETFs, I’m going to be selling UGE, which has barely begun to fulfill its downside potential:

Source: Yahoo! Finance
I am wary of a bounce here, so new shorts at these levels are in small sizes. I’d like to add at [...]

The winners are those groups that have fallen the least since mid-January, somewhat adjusted for their potential to decline. I view these as the least prone to violent snap-back rally right now, so this is where I am adding, conservatively, to my short portfolio:

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Losers
Materials are among the big losers so far. Commodities have a tendency [...]

When the short-term gets hazy, remember the big picture.
The drop so far (about 6% in 12 days on a closing basis, 9% in 13 days intraday):

Source: Prophet.net
Here are the conditions I am watching: RSI on the daily scale is now oversold. However, DSI bullishness has dropped from near 90% to the 30s, which still leaves a [...]

I was extremely, almost uncomfortably short for the last couple of weeks, and with the Dow down 175 a few minutes ago, I covered my stock futures shorts and bought a few contracts to hedge up my long-term puts. It’s looking very good for the shorts — dollar up across the board, bond spreads wider, [...]