That old-time feeling…

Robert Prechter said back in February that some aspects of this bounce would resemble the euphoria of the all-time top in equities. Well, when I looked at the market today and saw that Amazon has rocketed up to its 2000 and 2007 peaks (albeit on pathetic and waning volume this go-around) and sports a 60+ PE, I got a tingle of that giddy feeling I had when I was buying puts hand over fist on stocks like this two years ago. Back then the whole market looked like this, but there are some great set-ups being formed this summer.

We are now solidly overbought as well as ridiculously overvalued. We may be witnessing the last gasp of the great post-1995 equity bubble.

Source: Yahoo! Finance

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A word of caution: when the NASDAQ runs like this, it can keep on going for weeks, so don’t get run over going short-term short. This kind of momentum should drive the VIX under 20 before long. That would signal near-total complacency in the face of economic fundamentals whose only parallel, and there can no longer be any dispute here, lies with the Great Depression: link to pdf from Sprott Asset Management.